Bruce E. Hansen
"Interval Forecasts and Parameter Uncertainty"

Journal of Econometrics, (2006), 135, 377-398.

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Link to Abstract and PDF File of Paper

Some of the above material is based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation under Grants No. SES-9022176, SES-9120576, SBR-9412339, and SBR-9807111. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s), and do not necessarily reflect the views of the NSF.